Nodler, Moore Lead In 7th District GOP Primary

Wilson Research Strategies on behalf of the Southwest Missouri Leadership PAC conducted a survey of likely Republican voters in Missouri’s 7th Congressional District.

Key findings:

Billy Long (58% name ID) and Gary Nodler (54% name ID) are the best known congressional candidates. Long, Nodler, and Darrell Moore are each viewed favorably by 27% of primary voters, while Jack Goodman is viewed favorably by 21% of primary voters.

Among decided voters, those who already committed to a candidate, Gary Nodler and Darrell Moore are tied at 26%, with Jack Goodman (22%) and Billy Long (21%) trailing among committed voters.

Among all voters, 40% remain undecided, indicating that the Republican primary is still wide open. Gary Nodler and Darrell Moore are tied at 16% on the primary ballot with Jack Goodman (13%) and Billy Long (12%) trailing by less than the margin of error.

Nodler, Moore, Long and Goodman all have a legitimate chance to emerge from the primary as the Republican nominee should they have the resources and messaging to win undecided voters.

Methodology

Wilson Research Strategies conducted a research study of likely voters in Missouri’s 7th Congressional District.
WRS selected a random sample of voters from the Missouri voter file using Registration Based Sampling. Respondents were contacted by phone via a live telephone operator interview November 16-17, 2009. The study has a sample size of n=301 likely GOP primary voters. The margin of error is equal to ±5.6% in 95 out of 100 cases. The sample was stratified to represent the district electorate based on race, age, gender, partisan identification, and geographic distribution.

The full poll can be found here.